The Egypt Fantasy Crumbles

Mahmud Hams/AFP/Getty Images

The Egypt Fantasy Crumbles

As the revolutionary smoke clears, Westerners are forced to abandon their illusions, and acknowledge the dark reality of post-Mubarak Egypt.

On February 11, proponents of democracy from all around the world rejoiced after Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak succumbed to protesters’ demands and stepped down.

President Barack Obama took the lead in applauding the transition. “Egyptians have made it clear that nothing less than genuine democracy will carry the day,” he said. He compared the Egyptian protests to Gandhi leading India to freedom, to the Germans tearing down the Berlin Wall, and to the Indonesian movement that forced President Suharto to resign.

Many in the West were taken in by a fantasy. The assumption was that Egypt was bound for democracy, that the revolution would lead Cairo to replace its oppressive political ideologies with responsible international behavior, and that the transition was a victory for freedom lovers everywhere. But not everyone was convinced.

Shortly after Mubarak was toppled, Trumpet editor in chief Gerald Flurry addressed the Egypt fantasy and the West’s naive perspective on the revolution:

[M]any of the Western world’s leaders see what is happening in Egypt as good news. They fail to see the strength of Iran and the Muslim Brotherhood, and some of them fail to see the broken will of America—which all the Middle East leaders see! … Many people in the West hope to see Egypt transform into a picture of democracy and peace. But what do the Egyptian people want? Are Western leaders willing to look at the reality?A major survey by the Pew Research Center last year showed that the people of Egypt have no interest in Western-style democracy. Theyactuallywantstrict Islamic rule.A powerful Mubarak was able to control or contain the more extreme views of his own people. But that dam was broken when he resigned.

Now, nine months after Mubarak’s ouster, it is becoming inescapably clear that Egypt’s revolution was not the democratic triumph starry-eyed liberals mistook it for—and that post-Mubarak Egypt is, as Mr. Flurry wrote, racing toward the Islamist camp. Here are three reports from just one day of news that reveal how accurate Mr. Flurry’s forecast was:

Egypt Lurches Toward Iran

Last Thursday, Iran’s official government news agency released a report calling for drastic improvements in the relationship between Iran and Egypt. The relationship between Cairo and Tehran had been strained since the 1978 Camp David Accords between Israel and Egypt and the 1978-79 Iranian revolution. Official ties were severed in 1979. But the report from Thursday confirms that Iran’s highest leaders are now striving to establish “deep ties” with the new regime in Egypt. “There are broad potentials and capabilities that can be taken advantage of in establishment of deep ties and sustainable interactions between the Iranian and Egyptian nations,” the report said. Iran’s role as the world’s leading sponsor of terrorism makes Egypt’s reconciliation with Tehran a sobering trend.

Egypt-Israeli Relations Unravel

Israel says it has refrained from waging a major new attack on Gaza, in retaliation for the rockets being fired from Gaza into Israel, because of Egypt’s mediation efforts with Hamas. What Israel isn’t stating publicly, though, is that Egypt has also threatened Israel. According to a Thursday report from Courcy’s Intelligence Service, prominent Egyptian security officials “have warned Israel that Cairo would not permit a wide-scale Israeli operation in Gaza because the Egyptian position has completely changed since the revolution” (emphasis added). The report explains that although Egypt did not threaten any direct military response, it essentially said the military would not prevent thousands of Egyptians from marching toward the Israeli border.

Since becoming the first Arab country to sign a peace agreement with Israel in 1979, Egypt has been one of Israel’s most important regional allies. But the winds unleashed by the Arab Spring have cast a chill over the relationship, from which it will not recover.

Radical Islam Thwarts Democracy

Radical Islam’s role in Egypt’s politics has crescendoed in recent weeks as the nation prepares for its parliamentary elections. On Thursday, the bbc reported that prominent clerics have issued religious decrees against voting for liberals, Christians, or any politicians who support the formerly ruling National Democratic Party (ndp). In October, Al-Azhar’s secretary general of the Higher Committee for the Islamic Call issued a decree forbidding Muslims from voting for any member of the ndp. He illustrated the degree to which ndp members should be shunned by saying, “don’t even marry them.”

Salafist preacher Sheikh Mahmud Amir recently issued this fatwa against voting for ndp supporters, liberals or Christians: “Voting for these people is religiously prohibited. Whoever does this will be committing a major sin and should expiate for it.” Ahmad Qasim, a prominent Muslim Brotherhood leader, said that supporting the Brotherhood was “getting close to God in the service of the Egyptian people.”

These recent events reveal that Egypt’s revolution was not a victory for democracy but rather for those who want Egypt to be ruled by Islam.

As far back as July 1993, Mr. Flurry predicted that a radical shift would launch Egyptian politics toward the Islamist camp. The headlines each week reveal that that shift is well under way. The end result of Egypt’s revolution will not be the democratic Egypt that Western analysts had fantasized about but the birth of another radical Islamist nation bent on destroying Western culture.