Canadians head to the polls today for the most consequential election in a generation. In a world experiencing dramatic realignment, the winner of this election will have the opportunity to shape Canada’s future.

The resignation of Justin Trudeau, and the installation of Mark Carney as an unelected prime minister (also unconstitutional), meant that according to convention an election had to be called at the earliest opportunity. Since Parliament was prorogued, Carney was able to govern Canada for nearly a month with no oversight and made radical policy decisions that flouted the caretaker convention. Carney called an election just before Parliament was to reconvene to avoid a vote of no confidence.

The grand shadow looming over the election has been United States President Donald Trump. The tariffs and threats of Canada becoming the 51st state changed the narrative from Canadians rejecting Trudeau’s disastrous 10 years in office to wanting a leader who will oppose “Orange Hitler.”

Yet the most consequential part of this election is not political. Above all, this election is a measure of Canada’s national character. God has intervened to give Canada an opportunity for change and accountability. Can Canadians meet the moment?

By the Numbers

There are five major political parties in Canada’s political system: the Liberal Party, Conservative Party, New Democratic Party (ndp), Bloc Québécois and the Green Party. There are 343 electoral districts, or ridings, throughout Canada: Each is supposed to have an equal number of voters. The winning candidate of each riding will become the member of Parliament for that riding. The party that wins the most seats will be asked by the governor general to form a government, the leader of that party being the prime minister. If a party wins more than 170 seats, it will form a majority government, allowing the prime minister to more effectively push its agenda.

This election, voters are gravitating toward the two main parties: the Liberals, now led by Mark Carney, and the Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre. For two years, Poilievre has enjoyed a 20-point lead in the polls. But since Trudeau’s resignation, the Liberals have erased the 20-point deficit and, according to the latest Nanos poll, are polling at 42.9 percent, while the Conservatives are at 39.3 percent.

However, polls indicate the Liberals have a 74 percent chance of winning a majority government because Liberal supporters are concentrated in urban centers where there are more ridings. The vast majority of ridings are in Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia. More specifically, they are in Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver.

For the past two elections, the Conservatives have won the popular vote, but it did not translate to winning seats because the votes weren’t in the right places. According to Project 338, the key to the Liberals winning a majority will be several toss-up seats in British Columbia that the ndp won last election. The balance of power will be decided by razor-thin margins, opening the door for fraud.

West Coast Fraud

In 2024, British Columbia underwent a political realignment. The Conservative Party had a stunning resurgence, challenging the incumbent ndp government. After years of radical, left-wing policies that caused massive homeless encampments, safe injection sites, skyrocketing cost of living, and violence in the streets, even the left-wing British Columbians wanted change.

The polls were deadlocked and a close election ensued. After three days of counting votes, the ndp and Conservatives had won 44 seats each. The three remaining ridings were too close to call. By law, a provincial government can only be formed if a party wins a minimum of 47 seats. That means either side would have to win all three seats.

In the end, the ndp won all three seats. The two closest ridings (Surrey-Guildford and Juan de Fuca-Malahat) were recounted by hand because it was so tight. In Surrey-Guildford, the Conservative lost by just 22 votes. Mail-in ballots, which were counted last, pushed the ndp ahead. In these three final ridings, the margin of victory was 404 votes. Only 400 votes decided who would lead the province.

This election was also fraught with irregularities: mentally handicapped individuals voting, reports of non-Canadians voting, and Elections B.C. admitting it lost or misplaced hundreds of mail-in ballots. These irregularities raise serious questions about the integrity of Canada’s election security. A small amount of fraud can tip the balance in Canadian elections.

Mass fraud is not needed to steal elections in the Westminster election system: only strategic fraud—the right ballots at the right places.

Did the ndp commit fraud to stay in power? It would require an honest forensic audit to determine, but shouldn’t every Canadian want to know the truth?

If British Columbia will again be ground zero for a tightly contested election where the margin of victory is less than a hundred votes in each riding, would the Liberals be willing to commit fraud to stay in power?

Added to these concerns is the looming problem of foreign interference. Much of the past four years have been mired in controversy over the foreign interference scandal. As we wrote at the Trumpet, it is a proven fact that China, Iran and India interfered in the 2021 federal election and committed fraud for their preferred candidate. Nothing has been done to address these issues:

• Foreign agents becoming appointees to key positions (like poll watchers or election officials) who can allow fraud to happen
• Foreign students being bused to various ridings to vote for specific candidates illegally
• Different state actors using influence and money to influence voters
• Hundreds of Canadian politicians acting as informants for foreign governments (mainly China and India)

This election, more than any other, has the greatest consequences for these foreign powers. With the world in realignment, Canada is an important part of other nations’ economies and geopolitical strategies, mainly China, Iran and India. While India has a strong Sikh influence over the Conservative Party, China is intimately connected with Canada’s Liberal Party. As China is engaged in trade war with America, Canada is a key asset. Won’t China try every possible avenue to help its Liberal allies stay in power? There are already reports of Chinese espionage undermining Conservative candidates.

Would Carney resort to cheating for power? He has been proven a fraud: He substantially plagiarized his thesis paper and has flouted most constitutional conventions as prime minister. He is a technocrat with no respect for the rule of law or moral restraint. The Liberal Party has a long history of voter fraud, spanning from using the mafia in Montreal to allowing China to help them win elections.

If this is a close election, some form of fraud is guaranteed to take place. There are billions of dollars at stake, and some men will do anything to stay in power.

British Columbia provided another sober warning when Premier David Eby adopted emergency powers to deal with Trump’s tariffs. Part of the emergency legislation would have allowed Eby to bypass the democratic legislature, essentially enabling him to rule by edict. Facing backlash, Eby removed the controversial section.

Would Carney adopt emergency powers (likely through the Emergency Act) to deal with Trump? A Liberal prime minister did so just three years ago. Carney is not any different from Trudeau: He is a continuation of the same agenda.

Choose Your Poison

The dominating feature of this election is “Trump derangement syndrome”: Most Canadians are choosing their vote based on who can best deal with President Trump. The mainstream media has been working overtime to equate Poilievre to Canada’s Trump: a populist revolutionary who wants to upend the status quo. However, nothing could be further from the truth.

Poilievre’s platform has many practical ideas to bolster the economy and crack down on rampant crime. Prioritizing energy projects, lowering the cost of living, and ending senseless catch-and-release policies would immediately address some pressing issues affecting Canadians. However, he would be committing the Conservatives to deficit spending, and he has been unwilling to wade into any social issues. Poilievre said he would not repeal maid, the assisted death program, but he also would not allow it to expand. He has been vague in his views on transgenderism and abortion (although no one could be elected in Canada if he or she opposed abortion).

Carney is a new avatar for the same agenda as Trudeau. Carney has committed himself to the same policies: Internet censorship, support for Hamas, hatred for Donald Trump, green energy projects, government intervention and massive deficit spending. (Carney’s campaign is promising record-level peacetime spending of over $200 billion.) While Carney has done a few things, like axing the consumer carbon tax, to gain goodwill and appear different from Trudeau, he is a continuation of Trudeau with the possibility of a majority mandate.

This is where danger enters the picture: For 10 years, Trudeau undermined the rule of law and pursued a legislative agenda of tyranny. Some of the worst laws were stopped from being passed by the dropping of the Writ, but a Carney victory would resume this agenda with greater speed and ferocity.

While a Carney victory would be catastrophic, Poilievre hasn’t committed to addressing the cause of Canada’s decline.

Weighed in the Balance

Trudeau’s resignation is just one of many signs of God’s dramatic intervention in human affairs. God has used U.S. tariffs to expose Canada’s moral problems and national character crisis. The country is gripped in a spirit of hatred against Trump, we are poised to reelect the party of tyranny, and we refuse to hold our leaders—or ourselves—accountable for our country’s decline.

The exposed issues facing us each day is like God writing a warning to us. What is He telling us? “And this is the writing that was written, mene, mene, tekel, upharsin. This is the interpretation of the thing: Mene; God hath numbered thy kingdom, and finished it. Tekel; Thou art weighed in the balances, and art found wanting” (Daniel 5:25-27).

Our national character is being weighed in the balance by the great God. Will we be found wanting? This election may reveal the contents of our character and the future direction of our country. The handwriting is on the wall.

To learn more about the important prophetic picture, read Herbert W. Armstrong’s book The United States and Britain in Prophecy.