The Battle for Hodeidah: Implications for Iran

The most important and decisive battle in Yemen’s three-year civil war is taking place right now. Dubbed “Golden Victory” by the Saudi-led coalition, the operation is seeking to remove the Iranian-backed Houthi fighters from the port city of Hodeidah on Yemen’s coast.

What is the significance of this operation, and what wider implications could it have in the Red Sea area?

The battle for Hodeidah is seen as a potential turning point in Yemen’s war. Hodeidah is the only major port controlled by the Houthis and has long been a conduit for illicit arms transfers from the Iranians. It also provides the Houthis with as much as $40 million worth of revenue each month in order to perpetuate its fight against the Western- and Arab-backed government.

It is also the conduit for as much as three quarters of the humanitarian aid that millions of Yemenis rely on. Earlier this month, the United Nations said that if the aid gateway is disrupted by the fighting, up to 250,000 people could die from famine as a result.

Nevertheless, the Saudi-led coalition has plowed ahead with its plan. It sees the Houthis’ removal from Hodeidah as absolutely essential to defeat them.

Already, 350 people have been killed in the operation, nearly 200 of those in Wednesday’s battle for the main airport, which the Houthis lost.

Troops loyal to the former Yemeni government and backed by Saudi and Emirati air power are now moving in on the critically important port.

The operation is destined to be a slow slug as the Houthis have boobytrapped the entire area with land mines. The Houthi leader has said they will continue fighting regardless of losses.

As it looks like the Iranian-backed Houthis will eventually lose control of the port, it is important to keep in mind two things.

First, Iran will not easily give up its southern Red Sea strategy.

As we have forecast, Iran is committed to being a powerful player in the southern Red Sea. Its support for the Houthis in western Yemen is not just to be a thorn in the side of the Saudis, as many analysts believe. Rather, it has become the gatekeeper of the southern entry point to the Red Sea, the Bab el-Mandeb, and it wants to remain so.

Measuring just 18 miles across, this channel is the closest point between the two landmasses of central Africa and the Arabian Peninsula. The northeastern edge of the strait is in Yemeni territory. Over 300,000 tons of shipping, including 3.8 million barrels of oil, pass between the Mediterranean Sea and the Indian Ocean every day.

Iran wants control of this strategic gateway, be it through the Houthis in Yemen or by dominating nations on the other side of the strait.

That brings us to the second thing to keep in mind: Watch for Iran to become more heavily involved in Eritrea and Ethiopia.

Though it is still early days in Operation Golden Victory, it looks plausible, and maybe even likely, that Houthis will lose control of the port. If this happens, Iran may see the need to guarantee its position in the southern Red Sea by increasing its influence along the coastline on the other side of the Bab el-Mandeb—Eritrea and, by extension, Ethiopia.

Iran has a history of cordial relations with Eritrea, using the nation to smuggle weapons and even some troops into Somalia. Yemen’s exiled government claims that Eritrea actually aids Iran’s support for the Houthi rebels.

It could be that Iran will increase its commitment to Eritrea in order to hedge its bets in the region.

Regardless of how the battle for Hodeidah plays out, Iran will be the dominant player in the southern area of the Red Sea. This area is of great strategic interest to the nation, and one that the Bible indicates it is not going to part with.

If you would like to read more about what informs our analysis of Iran’s movements in the southern Red Sea, be sure to read the article “Iran Gets a Stranglehold on the Middle East.” Written by Trumpet editor in chief Gerald Flurry at the time that the civil war began, this article shows how Iran’s strategy in the Red Sea will actually motivate a collective European retaliation against Iran as part of a multinational strategy to curtail its influence throughout the Middle East and North Africa.

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Your Most Important Relationship

Learn what the Bible reveals about who and what God is!

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This Week: Five Events You Need to Know (June 23)

This Week: Five Events You Need to Know (June 23)

Veiled threats of killing white people, illegal immigration in America and Europe, and more

Here are five of the most important news stories this week, as well as relevant links to the full articles and videos here on theTrumpet.com.

South Africa on Verge of Civil War

In an interview with trt World, published June 9, South African firebrand politician Julius Malema said, “[W]e’ve not called for the killing of white people, at least for now. I can’t guarantee the future.”

Malema, who leads South Africa’s third-largest political party, said this during a discussion about the legality of state-sanctioned seizure of farmland owned by white people in the nation. “If things are going the way they are, there will be a revolution in this country,” he continued. “There will be an unled revolution in this country, and an unled revolution is the highest form of anarchy.”

How imminent is revolution in what the World Bank considers the most demographically unequal nation in the world?

Canadian Government Welcomes Back Islamic State Jihadists

According to documents obtained by Global News, the Canadian administration of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau believes Canadian terrorists who have left the country to join Islamists in the Middle East have a “right to return” to Canada—and the right to have the government facilitate their re-assimilation into Canadian society.

Approximately 60 terrorists have already returned to Canada, in addition to the 190 still fighting abroad in places like Syria and Iraq. Canada’s High Risk Returnee Interdepartmental Task Force will partner with the Royal Canadian Mounted Police in an aggressive campaign to “support” and “open up dialogue” with returning terrorists and their families.

Is President Trump Really Breaking Up Families?

This week, news outlets, media personalities, politicians, celebrities and ordinary citizens joined together to condemn United States President Donald Trump for breaking up families of illegal immigrants.

Is it that simple? Does President Trump hate these families so much that he’s breaking them up? What are the facts?

Italy Refuses Asylum to More Than 600 Refugees

On June 10, Italy refused to allow a ship carrying more than 600 refugees to dock in any of its ports.

According to EU law, refugees must apply for asylum in the first European country they enter. But the ship remained in limbo for several days as Europe squabbled over who should take responsibility for the refugees, further highlighting the disunity in the European Union—and Europe’s growing desire for strong leadership.

Knighted: For Services to Prostitution

The 2018 New Zealand Queen’s Birthday Honors List of recipients for the Order of Merit listed Ms. Catherine Alice Healy as its first recipient.

Healy is a longtime sex worker and founder of the New Zealand Prostitutes Collective, an organization she has led since 1989. She was once arrested for sex work during the 1980s—the solicitation of which, back then, was illegal. Now she is being honored “for services to the rights of sex workers.”

Whatever happened to the once highly-regarded British royal family?

“This Week” appears every weekend. To receive an update on our latest stories in your inbox ahead of time every Friday afternoon, subscribe to the Trumpet Brief daily e-mail. Sign up by clicking here or by visiting theTrumpet.com home page.

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Why America Needs to Beware Modern Assyria

Just as it did anciently, Germany will soon shock America and the world.

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Week in Review: Trump’s Immigration Crisis, China Courts North Korea, Germany Trying to Check Iran, and Much More

President Donald Trump speaks on immigration during a meeting with members of Congress at the White House on June 20, 2018 in Washington,DC.
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Week in Review: Trump’s Immigration Crisis, China Courts North Korea, Germany Trying to Check Iran, and Much More

Show Notes

  • Concern over immigrant children being separated from their parents on America’s southern border has become an explosive political issue. We’ll get past the hype to see what is really happening.
  • European leaders are dealing with an immigration crisis of their own and taking steps to contain the flow of migrants from Northern Africa.
  • Meanwhile, Germany is increasing arms sales to Arab states and strengthening ties with Jordan in an effort to stop what Angela Merkel called Iran’s “aggressive tendencies.”
  • After the Singapore summit, China has been preparing for more economic investment in North Korea, and Kim Jong-un made his third visit to Beijing.
  • We’ll also talk about the civil war in Yemen reaching what could be its decisive battle, China supplanting American investment in Cambodia, and a judge in Canada saying that a child can legally have a mom and two dads.

Links

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Il Capitano Matteo Salvini: Italy’s Crisis or Opportunity?

Italy’s crisis may contribute to Europe’s prophesied transformation and the rise of yet another strong Catholic leader.

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Is the End of Merkel Nigh?

Is the end of German Chancellor Angela Merkel nigh? That’s what many are asking themselves in Germany.

We’re just three months into Germany’s new government, and it has already hit a major crisis.

Once again, the migrant crisis is shaking German politics. In 2015, Merkel opened the floodgates to migrants. German Interior Minister and chairman of the Bavarian-based Christian Social Union (csu) Horst Seehofer wants to shut them again, no matter what his boss tells him.

He’s threatening to reverse the chancellor’s migrant policy—not allowing any more into Germany.

He’s threatening to do this without Ms. Merkel’s permission.

If Merkel tolerated this open rebellion against her authority as chancellor, she would lose all credibility. Other ministers would defy her and her government would fall apart. Or she could fire Seehofer for insubordination. But without Seehofer’s csu party, Merkel lacks a majority in the Bundestag, and her shaky coalition government would fall apart.

Seehofer has given Merkel until the end of the month to find a European solution, or he’ll trigger the crisis.

So 10 European Union leaders are meeting this weekend to talk about migration. Then leaders of all EU nations will meet at the end of the month.

But Europe has been working on this issue for years with no solution. Merkel is in a tight spot.

Even worse, if she wiggles out, she only has more tight spots to look forward to. Look how fast this coalition hit a big obstacle. It is inherently unstable; just a few rebels can threaten the whole government. Each party is worried about being demolished by more extreme parties. It’s a recipe for instability.

The Bible forecasts a major change in German politics. Daniel 8 and 11 describe a strong leader rising. Chapter 11 says that he won’t be voted into office; instead, he’ll enter in by “flatteries.” He works behind the scenes. The Trumpet said years ago that a weak coalition could lead to him taking power.

Now that weak coalition is here. Merkel may survive this crisis, but how long until the next one? And the next? Another three months? Even less?

The Bible has a lot to say about some major changes coming to Germany and Europe, and those changes are coming very soon. You can read more about this in our free booklet A Strong German Leader Is Imminent.

Germany’s Involvement Abroad

On Wednesday, June 20, the German government published its statistics on arms exports in 2017.

The data shows that even though exports have fallen 10 percent in the last year, it was still Germany’s third-highest year ever.

German-Foreign-Policy.com noted that several “target areas are clearly distinguished as the focus of armaments exports.”

Two of these target areas the report highlighted are the Arabian Peninsula and North Africa. From 2008 to 2016, for example, Germany sold nearly $4 billion in arms to Saudi Arabia and over $2 billion to the United Arab Emirates. Regardless of a recent hiccup (Saudi Arabia’s annoyance that Germany wants to continue with the Iran deal), the long-term policy is clear.

In 2017, Egypt and Algeria were also big targets, with Tunisia playing a small role. German-Foreign-Policy.com said Germany is trying to build up North African navies—so that it can secure the North African coast with their help.

The Trumpet has also said to watch for German involvement in these areas. In 2013, Trumpet editor in chief Gerald Flurry wrote: “Germany has expected to clash with Iran, and it has been working on a strategy for a decade or more. That strategy is almost complete. Germany has surrounded Iran.”

Germany is already preparing to confront Iran. Part of the way it is doing so is by supporting anti-Iranian and anti-Islamist armies in the Middle East and North Africa. Daniel 11 prophesies of a clash between Germany and Iran—and Germany is already preparing for it. The Bible says Germany will lead an alliance of Middle Eastern nations; it is building toward this today.

You can read more about these prophecies in our free booklet The King of the South.

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The Obama Dossier

The dubious intelligence report that fueled the Trump-Russia hoax.

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The Sequel to George Orwell’s 1984

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The Sequel to George Orwell’s 1984

Listen to the June 22, 2018, episode of the Trumpet Daily Radio Show.

“Grossly negligent” has become “extremely careless.” “Reasonably likely” has become “possible.” “Investigation” has become “matter.” These are a few of the deceitful word changes that historian and columnist Victor Davis Hanson noted in the Clinton e-mail investigation. One of the worst things about the recent Inspector General’s report, Hanson wrote, “is the extent to which the FBI went to make up words and phrases to disguise reality.” A tactic, he noted, that’s right out of Orwell’s famous book 1984. On today’s radio show, I talk about how society’s contempt for the truth is evident in the use of dishonest language. This is in stark contrast to towering figures of history such as Winston Churchill, who used English language to illuminate and amplify the truth. All this and more on today’s Trumpet Daily Radio Show.

Listen on Stitcher.

Download the show on iTunes.

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Il Capitano Matteo Salvini: Italy’s Crisis or Opportunity?

Italy’s crisis may contribute to Europe’s prophesied transformation and the rise of yet another strong Catholic leader.

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U.S. Officially Withdraws From UN Human Rights Council

U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley speaks at the U.S. Department of State in Washington, D.C.
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U.S. Officially Withdraws From UN Human Rights Council

‘We take this step because our commitment does not allow us to remain a part of a hypocritical and self-serving organization that makes a mockery of human rights.’

The United States officially withdrew from the United Nations Human Rights Council (unhrc) on Wednesday, June 20, as U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley announced. Since 2017, Haley has been voicing such rhetoric stressing the organization’s heavy “anti-Israel bias.” Now the U.S. has acted, branding the council a “cesspool of political bias.”

Haley expressed her frustration with the council during Wednesday’s announcement: “We take this step because our commitment does not allow us to remain a part of a hypocritical and self-serving organization that makes a mockery of human rights.” She added that the council had a “chronic bias against Israel.”

Listen to this news discussed by Stephen Flurry on Wednesday’s Trumpet Daily Radio Show:

“Anti-Israel” activity in recent council sessions led the U.S. out the door. In light of rising Palestinian deaths during protests across the Gazan border, Kuwait drafted a resolution on June 1. It condemned Israel of “excessive, disproportionate and indiscriminate force by the Israeli forces against Palestinian civilians” and demanded that they stop.

In return, the U.S. proposed a resolution condemning Hamas for the violence occurring in Gaza, but it gained zero traction with the only vote coming from its own seat. The New York Timesreported, “Israel has contended that its military is acting lawfully to stop the protesters from breaching the fence, and it has rejected accusations that soldiers have used deadly force needlessly. The Israelis have also accused Hamas and its militant affiliates in Gaza of using the protests as cover for sending attackers into Israel.”

Hamas was not mentioned once in Kuwait’s resolution. But Hamas is considered to be a major terrorist group by both the U.S. and Israel. Danny Danon, the Israeli ambassador, said in response, “You couldn’t bring yourself to mention Hamas even once. Don’t you know how to spell it?” Haley accused the resolution of being “one-sided,” only blaming Israel without even considering the violence caused by Hamas.

The U.S. resigned its seat “effective immediately.” It may stay in the unhrc as an observer and abstain from voting, but no further details have been released. If the council reformed, Haley said the U.S. “would be happy to return.” It believes this is the only way it could convey its seriousness to the council, a move it has been threatening since last year. “For too long,” continued Haley, “the Human Rights Council has been a protector of human rights abusers, and a cesspool of political bias. Regrettably, it is now clear that our call for reform was not heeded.”

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo backed up Haley, saying the council once had a “noble vision” but has become “a poor defender of human rights,” ultimately not living up to its name.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu firmly supported the U.S.’s decision, remarking that the council is a “biased, hostile, anti-Israel organization that has betrayed its mission of protecting human rights.”

Between March 30 and May 15, over 100 Palestinians have died and hundreds more have been wounded in the March of Return. Despite the death and violence, Hamas refuses to end the protests, so casualties will continue to rise as Israel defends its border.

When the unhrc ordered an investigation into the violence occurring on the Gaza border on May 19, Israel rejected it immediately. The probe was prepared to look into the 60 Palestinian deaths that occurred on May 14, investigating Israel’s “disproportionate and indiscriminate use of force” on Palestinian civilians. Israeli Defense Minister Avigdor Liberman tweeted in response that the unhrc has become a “cheerleader for terrorists.”

In a 2013 article, Trumpet writer Jeremiah Jacques addressed the corrupt leaders of the unhrc and their hypocrisy. In response to Russia and China gaining seats on the council on Nov. 12, 2013, he wrote:

As ridiculous as it is to place some of the world’s most notorious and unapologetic violators of human rights in charge of the UN’s Human Rights Council, it is far from the first time the organization has made such a childish decision.

Back in 2007, Iran—the defiant nation that brags about how it deceives the international community regarding its nuclear weapons program—was appointed vice chairman of the UN Disarmament Commission. Yes, that’s the same Iran that is the world’s number one sponsor of terrorism. The same year, Zimbabwe was elected chair of the Commission on Sustainable Development. That was just a few months before the climax of Zimbabwe’s astonishing hyperinflation crisis. That crisis culminated in the country printing a $100 trillion bank note. The bill said $100 trillion on it (that’s a one with 14 zeros) but within a few months after being printed, it was worth virtually nothing. Does that sound like the kind of country that should head up an international commission focused on making nations economically strong? …

The biggest failure by far though is that the UN has not accomplished its stated purpose: keeping the peace. From the UN’s inception in 1945 until early 2010, there have been 267 wars and over 3,000 other military conflicts. Almost as many people have been killed in all these altercations as died in World War ii itself.”

The late Herbert W. Armstrong predicted the UN’s failure to keep peace way back in 1945. He attended the inaugural session for the UN and wrote: “Already I see the clouds of World War iii gathering at this conference. … I do not see peace being germinated here, but the seeds of the next war!”

He followed up on his prediction in the January 1977 issue of the Plain Truth:

The United Nations won’t be able to bring peace. The aggressor nations–and we are so gullible we never recognize them until after they plunge the world into war–will go right on with their scheming and diabolical planning for world rule.

Mr. Armstrong recognized the flaws in the UN back right at its inception! What is happening in the unhrc today further proves the corrupt and hypocritical nature of the nations who hold seats in that organization. It also further proves what the Bible says about the nature of man: “And the way of peace have they not known” (Romans 3:17).

Request our free booklet He Was Right to learn more about Mr. Armstrong’s prophecies and how they are coming to pass today.