Is climate change to blame for Germany’s flooding?

Greta Thunberg has declared the floods in Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands to be the product of man-made climate change, adding ‘We’re at the very beginning of a climate and ecological emergency, and extreme weather events will only become more and more frequent.’

Well, that’s sorted out that one, then. …

Except there is just one niggling little doubt at the back of my mind – and which perhaps ought to be leaping up and down in the minds of Greta and Chancellor Merkel, too. Far from predicting more summer rainfall in the German Rhineland, climate models have tended to do the opposite: to predict less. Had these floods occurred during the winter, it would have been reasonable to claim that they were consistent with climate projections. Had they occurred in Scandinavia or the Baltic states that, too, could have been claimed to be consistent with climate change projections. But as you can see from the below map put out by the European Environment Agency, the clear prediction for the Rhineland of south western Germany, as well as for Belgium and the southern Netherlands, is that summers will become drier. Indeed, when Germany did have a dry summer last year that, too, was put down to climate change. …

To lazily blame the German floods on climate change is a case of predicting one thing and then, when the opposite happens, to turn round and say ‘look, I told you so’. If you want to try to blame last week’s floods on climate change it is first necessary to argue that the models have been wrong all along – and that actually Germany will suffer greater summer precipitation. But then that might undermine climate models in general.

theTrumpet says…

Massive climatic disasters are happening regularly. Evidence shows they are increasing in frequency and intensity. The usual political and media response is to blame this trend on “climate change.” The worse the disaster, the louder the calls for taking action against climate change by addressing the supposed man-made causes, such as carbon emissions and the use of fossil fuels.  

This view about “climate change” has taken hold of millions of minds around the world. It is often presented as if it were irrefutable scientific fact. The truth, though, is that it is an ideology, and it will negatively affect every single person who falls for it!  

I don’t want to discuss political views; my job is to give you God’s view. Our great Creator knows that climate change is not the cause of weather disasters!  

The Deadly Climate Change Deception,” Philadelphia Trumpet, February 2018