Will the CSU go it alone at some point?

There is a poll out this week that will be analysed with intense interest in the CSU headquarters in Munich. It shows that if the CSU were to end its alliance with the CDU and become a nationwide party, it would receive 24% of the votes. Shockingly, the CDU would be left with only 10%. 

That’s more than the combined total now. Astonishing also that the CSU alone would be bigger than the Greens. Obviously, these numbers reflect a lot of anger within the CDU about the choice of their candidate. That anger might dissipate at one point. But it may not dissipate completely. Even if the CSU does not gain anywhere near as much as these numbers suggest, it would still be advantageous to split because it would produce a power shift in the relation between the two parties.