Iran War: Farcical Ceasefire, Bizarre Optimism Over a Peace Deal
How badly does President Trump want out of the Iran war? He says an agreement is “two or three” days away. By cnn’s count, since late March he has declared a deal imminent at least 38 times. Each time, it has fallen through.
The latest complication—or rather, the latest sign of how farcical the entire process is—is a barrage of Iranian attacks in defiance of a supposed “ceasefire”:
- Last Friday, Iranian forces fired warning shots near Larak Island and sent drones after tankers in the Strait of Hormuz; American forces shot down four of them.
- Sunday night, Iran launched a missile barrage at northern Israel, the first direct fire between the two nations in two months.
- Monday, an Iranian drone knocked an American attack helicopter out of the sky over the strait. The two pilots barely escaped with their lives.
- This morning, after America’s retaliatory strikes last night, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps hit back at 21 American targets—drones at the Fifth Fleet in Bahrain and the Ali al-Salem airbase in Kuwait, long-range missiles at Azraq airbase in Jordan. It claims it destroyed an F-35 hangar, downed a U.S. surveillance drone, and stands ready to deliver a “crushing and decisive” response to any further American action.
- Meanwhile, the Strait of Hormuz—conduit for a fifth of the world’s oil—has been closed to normal traffic for 101 days and counting.
This is President Trump’s negotiating partner. It is against this backdrop that negotiations are proceeding and reportedly making fantastic progress.
If that isn’t enough to amplify your skepticism over the prospects of peace, perhaps a New York Times report on the substance of the confidential talks will. Here, apparently, are four points of the terms the Trump team is settling on:
- Enrichment suspended—not ended: Washington demanded a 20-year enrichment freeze. Tehran countered with 10. American officials expect to settle at 15. Trump once called even 20 years insufficient. This is stunningly similar to the “sunset clause” of Obama’s nuclear deal, and it appears to create a timetable for a nuclear Iran.
- Iran keeps its uranium: Rather than shipping its 11-ton enriched stockpile out of the country, the material would be diluted—likely inside Iran. Tehran could boast that it never gave up the fuel.
- One nuclear site stays open: The U.S. wanted Natanz, Fordo and Isfahan dismantled. Iran insists on keeping one facility to preserve its “right to enrich.” Remember: The fatal flaw of the Obama-era deal was leaving Fordo intact; Iran later used it to produce near-bomb-grade fuel.
- Inspections depend on Iran’s cooperation: America wants snap inspections anywhere, anytime. But many suspect that some of the nuclear sites sit inside irgc bases where inspectors have been turned away at the gates. The entire accord rests on the goodwill of the regime that just shot down an American aircraft.
This is the deal Vice President JD Vance calls a “home run for the American people,” whether or not Israel likes it.
Herbert W. Armstrong said America has won its last war. God prophesied of our people, “I will break the pride of your power” (Leviticus 26:19).
- That broken will is on vivid display: The mightiest nation in history is conceding ground in peace talks, hurrying to ratify Iran’s “right” to remain a threshold nuclear power while still absorbing active attacks from a belligerent enemy that calls it Satan.
Daniel 11:40 describes the king of the south pushing. Iran is pushing at the negotiating table as surely as in the skies over Hormuz. To see where this push leads, read The King of the South