Iran war update: April 22

  • United States President Donald Trump’s ceasefire with Iran was supposed to expire last night. He extended it indefinitely, until Iran’s “leaders and representatives can come up with a unified proposal.”
  • Iranian leadership is clearly divided between political actors, who appear to want to negotiate, and the radicals in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, who do not. It’s clear now that the irgc holds the power in Iran.
  • The U.S. military will continue its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in the meantime. Trump is likely hoping to suffocate Iran back to the negotiating table as it loses an estimated $455 million a day in trade.
  • Iran attacked three ships in the strait after the ceasefire was extended.
  • Despite Iran’s doubletalk, President Trump seems desperate to make a deal to end the war, another symptom of America’s fundamental weakness.